Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.169135 0.181508 0.194394 0.208831 0.224572 0.241235 0.260236
2025-05-04 0.146874 0.164840 0.184580 0.207952 0.234964 0.265313 0.302149
2025-05-11 0.132858 0.153542 0.177083 0.206007 0.240783 0.281498 0.333135
2025-05-18 0.121908 0.144184 0.170258 0.203257 0.244230 0.293848 0.359124
2025-05-25 0.117260 0.141608 0.170840 0.208854 0.257475 0.318242 0.400995
2025-06-01 0.109591 0.134629 0.165321 0.206146 0.259673 0.328381 0.424750
2025-06-08 0.103292 0.128854 0.160785 0.204136 0.262280 0.338773 0.449050
2025-06-15 0.096354 0.121798 0.154102 0.198746 0.259827 0.341942 0.463251
2025-06-22 0.091496 0.117137 0.150205 0.196697 0.261554 0.350620 0.485418
2025-06-29 0.088737 0.115057 0.149540 0.198874 0.269062 0.367570 0.520420
2025-07-06 0.084494 0.110750 0.145613 0.196243 0.269512 0.374309 0.540507
2025-07-13 0.081153 0.107495 0.142932 0.195153 0.271996 0.383979 0.565476
2025-07-20 0.079905 0.107140 0.144342 0.200108 0.283798 0.408490 0.615895
2025-07-27 0.076812 0.104072 0.141794 0.199179 0.286776 0.419830 0.646242
2025-08-03 0.073685 0.100799 0.138773 0.197336 0.288164 0.428645 0.672899
2025-08-10 0.070561 0.097388 0.135382 0.194724 0.288139 0.435105 0.695899
2025-08-17 0.069915 0.097530 0.137169 0.200040 0.300812 0.462685 0.757234
2025-08-24 0.067143 0.094423 0.133983 0.197468 0.300643 0.469058 0.781547
2025-08-31 0.064724 0.091743 0.131316 0.195558 0.301399 0.476934 0.809028
2025-09-07 0.061627 0.087929 0.126771 0.190439 0.296539 0.474879 0.817889
2025-09-14 0.059507 0.085516 0.124279 0.188492 0.296865 0.481757 0.843972
2025-09-21 0.058483 0.084735 0.124270 0.190560 0.304080 0.501110 0.895457
2025-09-28 0.056434 0.082298 0.121570 0.188061 0.303254 0.505967 0.918766